discuss spatiotemporal distribution of temperature and rainfall in ethiopia

ABSTRACT: Extreme precipitation exerts damaging impacts on both society and ecosystems. Hydro-meteorological instrumentation: For monitoring of quality data, which would be an early warning system, forecasting/projection and disaster response with timely information. The uncertainty of world climatic variability is a major impediment to sustaining the food security and livelihoods of the world's populations (Gebre et al. This study presents a largely indicator-based assessment of past and projected climate change, impacts and the associated vulnerabilities of and risks to ecosystems, agriculture, water recourses, forestry, bioclimatic conditions, human health and society in the RM, based on a wide range of observations and different model simulations. The findings of the study indicate that there have been significant rainfall fluctuations. Part II: Evaluation of Historical Simulations of Intraseasonal to Decadal Variability, Modeling Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Streamflow Using Projections of the 5th Assessment Report for the Bernam River Basin, Malaysia, Future Changes in Water Supply and Demand for Las Vegas Valley: A System Dynamic Approach based on CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Projections, Differentiating Snow and Glacier Melt Contribution to Runoff in the Gilgit River Basin via Degree-Day Modelling Approach, Performance Evaluation and Comparison of Satellite-Derived Rainfall Datasets over the Ziway Lake Basin, Ethiopia, Effect of projected climate change on potential evapotranspiration in the semiarid region of central India, Simulating Streamflow in Response to Climate Change in The Upper Ewaso Ngiro Catchment, Kenya. The present results are in agreement with Parry (2007), who stated that due to a prolonged increase in the emission of gases through human activities and expansion of industry, the surface temperature has increased by about 1 C. . 2010; Simane et al. Notably, there is a significant increase in the maximum number of consecutive dry days and significant decreases in the number of days with at least 1 and 10 mm of precipitation. Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres. Gridded rainfall and temperature data were gathered from CenTrends Great Horn of Africa v1 and CRU . Mixed crop-livestock is the production system of the area and is perhaps the only source of livelihood for the majority of the population. Let X1, X2, X3. What causes climate change? Summary of annual and seasonal rainfall, coefficient of variation and PCI. The focus of this study is to investigate the spatiotemporal variability and trends in rainfall and temperature in Alwero watershed in the western part of Ethiopia using a dense network of 4 4 km gridded data (558 points) reconstructed from weather stations and meteorological satellite records which spatially covers the watershed. 2013; Muhire & Ahmed 2015). Spring (March, April and May)In this season, the noonday sun is shining directly on the equator while shifting north from south.The shift of the ITCZ, results in longer days and more direct solar radiation providing warmerweather for the northern world. Winter (December, January and February)In winter, the overhead sun is far south of equator. Spatiotemporal variability and trends of rainfall and temperature in the Northeastern Highlands of Ethiopia Authors: Abebe Arega Mekonen Arega Bazezew Berlie Bahir Dar University Abstract. Continuously increasing temperature, together with the variability and fluctuation of seasonal and inter-annual rainfall is a root cause for the decrease and fluctuation of crop production. It is one of the most widely used non-parametric statistical tests to check the trend of randomness against the detection of trends over time (Mann 1945; Kendall 1975). Registration confirmation will be emailed to you. Additionally, studies of rainfall and temperature variations in larger areas would in general be of little use for local level agricultural production (Gebre et al. (2011) and Manandhar et al. Therefore, community-based soil and water conservation practices help the communities to diversify their livelihood activities. The annual rainfall distribution is also variable in time and space. In this study, the spatiotemporal variability of Ethiopian soil moisture (SM) has been characterized, and its local and remote influential driving factors are investigated . The reduction in precipitation is projected to be steepest over Northwestern Province and lessens southwards. Social fencing is another mechanism that can be adopted in the region. The elevation ranges from 2,747 to 3,674 m a.s.l. In the rainfall distribution during belg and kiremit it was found that there was a moderate concentration of precipitation throughout the seasons, which shows that there is no uniform distribution, whereas during the bega season a significant change in the PCI was shown, thus the concentration of precipitation is increasing and rainfall has become more erratic. This development mainly happens in July in Ethiopia and the Horn causingvariability and seasonality.The ITCZ shifts towards south of equator (Tropic of Capricorn) in January. In a study by Mekasha et al. Thus temperature, as it is affected by altitude, decreasestowards the interior highlands. doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2018.064. The steepness of these trends generally falls between 0.22 and 0.47 on Sens slope estimator at a significance level of 5%. About 60 percent of the rain is in autumn and 40 percent in spring. Summary statistic of MKs test (Zmk), Sen's Slope estimator () and change in % of annual and seasonal rainfall (19802014). 1.1. Therefore, this study was undertaken with the main objectives of spatiotemporal analysis of climatic parameters (rainfall and temperature) and its impact on crop production using various analysis techniques. Global warming is a significant global environmental problem in the 21st century. It is vital to link physical data analysis with endogenous knowledge and practices of farmers to strengthen their adaptive capacity. Observed Data On the basis of the results obtained from the MK test (Zmk), it is vital to discuss the intensity and magnitude on the economical and socio-ecological impacts of climatic variability in the Beressa watershed if the seasonal rainfall variability continuously increases in the future. 2015; Wagesho & Yohannes 2016). This statistical test is a popular and important tool in detecting the trend used by many other scholars for related applications (Hirsch et al. These are: i. Therefore, if the income from one source decreases, they still have other income sources which will provide economic relief and the capability to cope with and adapt to climatic variability (Kelly & Adger 2000). Previous Topic. The intensity and trend of climatic variability of the study watershed during the last decades matches with the country- and global-level conditions; it is a cause for drastic changes in various hydrological parameters (i.e. The results revealed that the magnitude of significantly increasing trend and variability was observed in mean annual rainfall for DB station (at 0.28 mm/year and 1.07%). Additionally, serial correlation was tested. Tmean, the mean annual temperature; Tmin, minimum annual temperature; Tmax, maximum annual temperature. During the time sequence, the oscillation of the curve indicates speedy movement. Besides the high level of temperature variability, the overall average temperature of the area has significantly increased throughout the years. Rainfall and temperature data indicate the long-term change pattern or change in the data for a given temporal and spatial time scale. This will help mitigate their vulnerability to climatic shocks and variability. Thus, the rainfall system in Ethiopia is characterized by spatial and temporalvariabilities.Rainfall in Ethiopia is the result is influenced by the position of Intertropical Convergence Zone(ITCZ). The CMIP5 datasets were statistically downscaled by using the climate model data for hydrologic modeling (CMhyd) tool and bias corrected using the distribution mapping method available in the CMhyd tool. Moving average rainfall and temperature can be obtained by using the following equation: Inverse distance weighted interpolation methods (IDW) have been used in order to analyse annual and seasonal rainfall and temperature. The impact of climate change is a global threat, and its effect is more pronounced in developing countries. 2016). The minimum temperature has a higher correlation with crop production and a stronger correlation between crops and maximum temperature. Latitude,humidity and winds, with varying magnitude have also significant impacts on temperatureconditions in Ethiopia. Back to Lesson. Annual total precipitation significantly reduces while the frequency of exceedance of the 95th and 99th percentile thresholds increases significantly. During this season, the south easterliesfrom Indian ocean showers the lowlands in southeastern part of Ethiopia.iii. This study investigates trends of climate extreme indices in the Komadugu-Yobe Basin (KYB) based on observed data of the period 1971-2017 as well as regional climate model (RCM) simulations for the historical period (1979-2005), the near future (2020-2050), and the far future (2060-2090). Climatic variability in the past has been increasing and from the trends suggested in different studies, may further increase in the near future, putting urgent emphasis on how the community perceives the extent of climate change in order to design coping and adaptation strategies (Belay et al. Therefore, saving provides insurance at times of climatic hazard and is used to overcome barriers to adaptation and increase the degree of resilience. The Physiographic Divisions of Ethiopia, 3.3. The time series of five years moving average minimum and maximum temperature was analysed for the period 19802014. In kiremit season, rain is essential but it extends to the bega season during the harvesting stage. Because of the rainfall-dependent farming practice, farmers are always worried about the duration and intensity of rainfall. The farming system is characterized by traditional, rainfed, labour-intensive and subsistence-oriented or hand to mouth systems. seasonal, mean annual rainfall including the mean, minimum and maximum temperature spatiotemporal trend as well as its impacts on crop production at the Beressa watershed from 19802014 (35 years). Therefore, in order to know the yields, annual rainfall is less important for prediction. **10% level of significance. NB: Kiremit: Summer; Belg: Spring; Bega: winter. Elements and Controls of Weather and Climate, 5.3. Therefore, long-term analysis of climatic trends has been used to characterize the situations (Singh et al. Therefore, appropriate adaptation and mitigation strategies have to be included in the development agenda to reverse the trend. Do we have dynamics in temperature and rainfall in Ethiopia? The daily observed rainfall and temperature data at eleven stations were obtained from the National Meteorological Agency (NMA) of Ethiopia, while simulated historical and future climate data were obtained from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) datasets under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) of 4.5 and 8.5. The production of wheat was less than 18 years mean in eight years out of 18 production periods, whereas barley crop production was lower than 18 years mean in nine years out of the total 18 years of kiremit rainfall. Academia.edu no longer supports Internet Explorer. Spatiotemporal Distribution of TemperatureAltitude is an important element in determining temperature of Ethiopia and the Horn. Southern part ofEthiopia receives highest records of temperature in autumn and spring following the relativeshift of the sun; whereas in the northern part of the country, summer season is characterized byhigher temperature.It has to be noted that certain seasons should have special considerations. Therefore, correlation between monthly, seasonal rainfall and crop production are insufficient to conclude the impact of variability of rainfall and temperature on crop production. The area is characterized by diverse topographic conditions such as mountainous and dissected terrain with steep slopes. In order to determine the variability, heterogeneity and concentration of rainfall in time and space, the PCI was employed. Management of grazing land, such as through cut and carry feeding systems, can help to mitigate and adapt to climate change and variability. The long-term minimum temperature has shown an increasing trend, which is significantly increasing at 5 and 10% levels of significance in four stations and one station out of seven, respectively. And disaster response with timely information during this season, rain is in autumn and 40 percent in.. To the bega season during the time sequence, the overhead sun far. Would be an early warning system, forecasting/projection and disaster response with timely information of!, humidity and winds, with varying magnitude have also significant impacts on temperatureconditions in Ethiopia to strengthen adaptive! Soil and water conservation practices help the communities to diversify their livelihood activities to be steepest Northwestern... For a given temporal and spatial time scale livelihood activities be steepest Northwestern... 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